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normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">蔚来EP9亮相2018上海工博会</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">　　随着汽车电动化渗透率的不断提高，驱动电机和变速器行业将会迎来整体规模的迅速扩张nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站。根据估测nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，随着汽车电动化快速推进nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，新能源汽车电机系统市场将随之快速扩张nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，市场规模有望从2015年的$23亿增长到2030年的$318亿nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">　　新能源汽车电机系统主要包括电动机和逆变器两部分，虽然同其他大部分汽车零部件一样nba买球正规网站，这两部分部件长期都面临降价压力nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，但是由于新能源汽车总量的上升nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，行业总体还是具备较大上升空间nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站。我们预期到2030年市场规模年均增速将在18%-20%左右。系统单价方面nba买球正规网站，电机系统整体往高功率方向发展的同时也带来了装配价格的提升nba买球正规网站。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">　　从市场份额情况看，丰田集团在2016年的数据中(集团主要生产电机的公司包括电装公司和爱信精机)nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，本田集团位居第二，而同时这两大集团也都在混动领域占据领先地位nba买球正规网站。之后是比亚迪以及给特斯拉供货的台湾电机制造商富田电机nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">　　电机行业在长期发展过程中nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，第三方供应商崛起将是大势所趋nba买球正规网站。如果我们观察当前日本汽车行业产业链情况nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，不难发现占据龙头地位的前三强(丰田nba买球正规网站、本田nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站、日产)都倾向于自供电机产品nba买球正规网站，这除了和日本制造企业的传统基因相关外nba买球正规网站，也同行业发展的阶段有关nba买球正规网站。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">　　如果对照一下PC和手机行业的发展史，我们不难发现，这两个行业在初期都是高度上下游整合生产nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，无论是PC行业的惠普nba买球正规网站、苹果nba买球正规网站、硅图公司nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，还是手机行业的诺基亚nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站、摩托罗拉都在产业链中高度整合生产，因为在初期产品更新换代速度较快nba买球正规网站，需要上游零部件供应商迅速做出反应相互配合，所以整合生产的模式具备较高的nba买球正规网站。然而到了行业发展中后期，由于整个市场规模扩充，同时产品更新换代速度不需要像初期那样快nba买球正规网站，此时第三方供应商以整个市场为客户对象的规模效应便体现出来nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，这也催生了富士康nba买球正规网站、美光nba买球正规网站、海力士等一系列第三方供应商的崛起nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">　　新能源汽车电机行业也不例外nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，从当前时点看nba买球正规网站，本田已经宣布将与日立合作生产电机nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站。同时日产也在投资者交流会上提到将来可能开始外采电机。2017年10月nba买球正规网站，三菱电机宣布将为戴姆勒奔驰提供电机和逆变器nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站。随着第三方电机厂商能nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站、低成本产品的普及nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，电机行业市场份额从主机厂自供向第三方企业转移是大势所趋nba买球正规网站。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">　　目前日本的电机企业已经相继开始对电动化所带来的趋势转变做出了应对。我们预期电装和爱信精机将会首先利用他们现有的规模优势nba买球正规网站，用较低的成本占有市场份额nba买球正规网站，而紧随其后的电产和明电舍也将迅速跟进nba买球正规网站。目前电机行业的平均毛利率在30%左右，而生产规模是决定毛利率高低的主要因素之一。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">　　再来说说变速器，变速器是传统燃油车的核心部件之一，其有两大基本功用nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，一是配合离合器nba买球正规网站，保证汽车正常起步nba买球正规网站，不至于因起步负载过大而熄火;二是，在车主不断变化车速的过程中，通过档位的切换(变速比)使得发动机稳定处于工作转速nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站。它对汽车的驾驶体验有着至关重要的影响，但在新能源车领域nba买球正规网站，变速器似乎并没有那么重要nba买球正规网站。因为电动汽车的电机已经可以依靠自身完善的系统让车辆正常行驶nba买球正规网站，而变速器对改善驾驶性的效果有限nba买球正规网站，若再增加一个变速器nba买球正规网站，将会增加车辆的车重nba买球正规网站，也会增加成本nba买球正规网站。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"> </span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);">　　在未来的一段时间里nba买球正规网站，混合动力汽车仍将搭载ATnba买球正规网站、DCT以及ECVT;纯电动汽车短期内以减速器为主流，二级变速器为趋势。很多认可二级变速器将是未来发展趋势的业内人士也认为nba买球正规网站，采用二级变速器nba买球正规网站，可以使电机更多地工作在区nba买球正规网站，其原因是采用二级变速器时，电机的工作转矩比采用固定档减速器小得多，这样就减小了电机的工作电流nba买球正规网站，降低了电机的烧组损耗nba买球正规网站，提高了电机的工作效率。也有业内人士认为nba买球正规网站，对纯电动汽车而言nba买球正规网站，为了提高传统比nba买球正规网站，实现大车速及大爬坡度的提升nba买球正规网站，可对变速器进行改进，采用五挡变速器nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，能够实现汽车性能的提高。现阶段，五挡变速器已经实现了产业化发展nba买球正规网站，而两挡变速器研发成果显然还不明显nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，所以nba买球正规网站nba买球正规网站，五挡变速器可以直接应用现有技术及成果，实现研发成本的降低nba买球正规网站，同时五挡变速器对电池nba买球正规网站、电机的要求都不高nba买球正规网站，有可能是未来电动汽车发展的主要方向nba买球正规网站。</span><br style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: 宋体, Tahoma, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei"; font-size: 12px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);"/><span style="color: 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